Currently situated over the central Caribbean, the disturbance is producing widespread showers and thunderstorms, indicating increasing organization. Environmental conditions are favorable for further development, with a tropical depression likely by the end of the week. By next week, the system is expected to drift northward, possibly affecting Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula, Cuba, and parts of South Florida.
Meteorologists advise residents and travelers in these areas to keep informed, as storm impacts could disrupt travel plans and daily life. This potential storm follows closely on the heels of Tropical Storm Rafael, which dissipated in the Gulf of Mexico last week.Caribbean Disturbance Shows Potential for Development into Tropical Storm Sara
According to the National Hurricane Center, a tropical disturbance over the Caribbean Sea is showing signs of organization and has a high probability of forming into a tropical depression within the week. This development arrives as the 2024 hurricane season nears its end, following the recent dissipation of Tropical Storm Rafael.The tropical wave over the central Caribbean is generating increased thunderstorms, signaling a significant rise in activity compared to earlier this week. FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin notes that the storms, which were sparse on Monday, have become markedly stronger and more frequent over the past 24 hours, observed particularly around Puerto Rico and Costa Rica.
Given the conducive atmospheric conditions in the area, the NHC expects the disturbance to further organize and possibly transform into Tropical Storm Sara. The system may remain relatively stationary over the western Caribbean through the weekend, with a slow, northward drift projected to start by early next week.This potential track could bring storm impacts to Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, Cozumel, Cancun, Cuba, and potentially South Florida. FOX Weather Meteorologist Michael Estime advises residents and travelers in these areas to remain alert, as this disturbance could intensify, impacting plans across the region by early next week.
This graphic shows the development chances for a tropical disturbance in the Caribbean Sea.
(FOX Weather)As of Tuesday, the NHC estimates a medium chance of tropical development within the next 48 hours and a high chance within the next week, making it a system worth close monitoring.
Meteorologists advise residents and travelers in these areas to keep informed, as storm impacts could disrupt travel plans and daily life. This potential storm follows closely on the heels of Tropical Storm Rafael, which dissipated in the Gulf of Mexico last week.Caribbean Disturbance Shows Potential for Development into Tropical Storm SaraAccording to the National Hurricane Center, a tropical disturbance over the Caribbean Sea is showing signs of organization and has a high probability of forming into a tropical depression within the week. This development arrives as the 2024 hurricane season nears its end, following the recent dissipation of Tropical Storm Rafael.The tropical wave over the central Caribbean is generating increased thunderstorms, signaling a significant rise in activity compared to earlier this week. FOX Weather Meteorologist Britta Merwin notes that the storms, which were sparse on Monday, have become markedly stronger and more frequent over the past 24 hours, observed particularly around Puerto Rico and Costa Rica.
Given the conducive atmospheric conditions in the area, the NHC expects the disturbance to further organize and possibly transform into Tropical Storm Sara. The system may remain relatively stationary over the western Caribbean through the weekend, with a slow, northward drift projected to start by early next week.This potential track could bring storm impacts to Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, Cozumel, Cancun, Cuba, and potentially South Florida. FOX Weather Meteorologist Michael Estime advises residents and travelers in these areas to remain alert, as this disturbance could intensify, impacting plans across the region by early next week.This graphic shows the development chances for a tropical disturbance in the Caribbean Sea.(FOX Weather)As of Tuesday, the NHC estimates a medium chance of tropical development within the next 48 hours and a high chance within the next week, making it a system worth close monitoring.
